TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Santa Clara Broncos and San Francisco Dons scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple spread variations (-8.5, -7.5, -6.5), and over/under totals (158.5, 157.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Santa Clara wins OR San Francisco wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent, mutually exclusive resolution logic across all market types.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Use Polymarket exclusively for this event group. If trading spreads, confirm the exact threshold (-8.5, -7.5, or -6.5) before entering positions, as each has different resolution criteria. All platforms agree on postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) handling.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If San Francisco wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Santa Clara wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both be Yes. Market is unresolvable as written.Polymarket:
Moneyline: mutually exclusive outcomes (Santa Clara Broncos vs San Francisco Dons). Spreads: three variants at -8.5 (9+ point margin), -7.5 (8+ point margin), -6.5 (7+ point margin). Over/Under: two variants at 158.5 (159+ combined) and 157.5 (158+ combined). All logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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