TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between San Diego State Aztecs and Boise State Broncos scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets track the winner, point spread, and combined scoring totals across two prediction platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers two distinct Over/Under thresholds (144.5 and 143.5) for the same game, creating a threshold mismatch. Kalshi provides only binary win/loss resolution without O/U or spread markets. The divergence affects totals traders but not moneyline traders.Hero Tip:
Moneyline traders (win/loss) face unified resolution across platforms: final score determines winner, overtime included, postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves 50-50. Totals traders must verify which O/U threshold (144.5 or 143.5) applies to their specific market contract. A score of exactly 144 creates a split outcome across Polymarket's two O/U products.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Offers three distinct markets: (1) Moneyline resolves to winning team name; (2) O/U 144.5 resolves Over if combined score 145+, Under if less than 145; (3) O/U 143.5 resolves Over if combined score 144+, Under if less than 144. Also offers Spread -1.5 (Boise State wins by 2+ = Boise State, otherwise San Diego State). All markets treat postponement as open-until-completion and cancellation as 50-50 split. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the San Diego State Aztecs and Boise State Broncos combine to score 145 or more points' (144.5 O/U) vs 'This market will resolve to Over if...combine to score 144 or more points' (143.5 O/U).Kalshi:
Provides only binary win/loss resolution: 'If Boise St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If San Diego St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' No O/U or spread markets are documented. Resolution is based on final score of the game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026. Key Quote: 'If Boise St. wins the San Diego St. at Boise St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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