TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Saint Peter's Peacocks and Iona Gaels scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 for both teams, and over/under totals at three different thresholds (139.5, 140.5, 141.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Saint Peter's win and Iona win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally non-binary and unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent moneyline is logically consistent with binary outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until clarification is obtained from Kalshi support. The market as documented cannot function. Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals are all logically consistent and resolvable. Spreads and totals align across both platforms on postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) handling.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: If Saint Peter's wins, resolve Yes. If Iona wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes produce the same resolution. Quote: 'If Saint Peter's wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Iona wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline market states: If Saint Peter's Peacocks win, resolve to Saint Peter's Peacocks. If Iona Gaels win, resolve to Iona Gaels. Standard binary structure with clear differentiation. Quote: 'If the Saint Peter's Peacocks win, the market will resolve to Saint Peter's Peacocks. If the Iona Gaels win, the market will resolve to Iona Gaels.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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