TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Saint Louis Billikens and Loyola Chicago Ramblers scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-18.5 and -17.5), and over/under (155.5 total points) outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market has a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Saint Louis win and Loyola Chicago win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline correctly maps each outcome to a distinct resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It will fail to resolve correctly regardless of game outcome. Use Polymarket for moneyline exposure. Spread and over/under markets on both platforms are logically sound and can be settled normally based on final game score.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market contains logical error: both Loyola Chicago win and Saint Louis win resolve to Yes. This creates an impossible resolution state. Spread and over/under markets are properly structured.Polymarket:
Moneyline correctly resolves to winner name (Saint Louis Billikens or Loyola Chicago Ramblers). Spread markets resolve based on margin threshold (19+ points for -18.5, 18+ points for -17.5). Over/under resolves at 156+ combined points. All markets include postponement continuation clause and 50-50 cancellation clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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