TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Saint Joseph's Hawks and California Golden Bears on March 22 at 9:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different resolution thresholds for over/under markets on the same game. Kalshi markets resolve YES if the total exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., over 133.5 means 134+), while Polymarket markets resolve Over if the combined score is strictly greater than the threshold plus 0.5 (e.g., O/U 148.5 resolves Over at 149+), creating inconsistent settlement values across platforms.Hero Tip:
If you trade the same over/under line on both platforms, verify the exact threshold: Kalshi uses 'over X.5' to mean X+1 or higher, while Polymarket uses 'O/U X.5' to mean X+0.5+1 or higher (i.e., X+1.5 rounded to X+1). For example, a combined score of 149 resolves YES on Kalshi's 148.5 market but Over on Polymarket's 148.5 market—but NO on Kalshi's 149.5 market and Under on Polymarket's 149.5 market. Always cross-check the exact settlement rule before placing hedges.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 12 separate over/under markets on total points, each with a different threshold (133.5, 136.5, 139.5, 142.5, 145.5, 148.5, 151.5, 154.5, 157.5, 160.5, 163.5, 166.5). Each market resolves YES if the combined score exceeds that exact threshold. For example, market 1 states 'If Saint Joseph's and California collectively score over 160.5 total points... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning 161+ points triggers YES.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 4 separate over/under markets on total points with thresholds at 148.5, 149.5, 150.5, and 151.5. Each market resolves Over if the combined score is strictly greater than the threshold plus 0.5 (i.e., 149+, 150+, 151+, 152+ respectively). For example, the O/U 148.5 market states 'This market will resolve to Over if the Saint Joseph's Hawks and California Golden Bears combine to score 149 or more points,' meaning 149+ points triggers Over.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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