TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Buffalo Sabres and Vegas Golden Knights scheduled for March 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), total goals (over/under at multiple thresholds), and spread betting.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (VGK win and BUF win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable and unhedgeable. Polymarket moneyline is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline. It will fail settlement. Trade Polymarket moneyline for winner exposure. Polymarket over/under and spread markets are safe and consistent with Kalshi logic on those contract types.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market structure is broken. Both outcomes (VGK win, BUF win) map to Yes. No path to No resolution exists. Quote: 'If VGK Golden Knights wins the Buffalo at Vegas professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If BUF Sabres wins the Buffalo at Vegas professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline market is logically coherent. Sabres win resolves to Sabres; Golden Knights win resolves to Golden Knights. Mutually exclusive outcomes. Quote: 'If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to Sabres. If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to Golden Knights.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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