TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.8b

24H VOL:

$257,828,392

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,069,390

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,354,664,501

579,454

Markets across

14,299

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,106

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
kalshi
polymarket

Sabres vs. Ducks? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$775,065
PredictionHero
O/U 7.5 100%
polymarket
O/U 6.5 100%
polymarket
O/U 4.5 100%
polymarket
Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026020406080100

Closed: Mar 22, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Description

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 22 at 8:00PM ET: If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres". If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi settles on margin-based outcomes (win by 1.5+ or 2.5+ goals), while Polymarket settles on moneyline winner and total goals scored. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution criteria for the same game.

Hero Tip:

If you bet on Kalshi's margin markets, your outcome depends on the goal differential, not just who wins. On Polymarket, moneyline bets only care about the winner, and totals markets only care about combined goals. A Sabres 3-1 win resolves YES on Kalshi (Buffalo wins by >1.5), YES on Polymarket moneyline (Sabres), and Under on Polymarket O/U 4.5 (total 4 goals). Be aware of which platform's logic matches your prediction.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi:

    Outlier: Settles exclusively on goal margin thresholds. Markets resolve YES if either team wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Key quote: 'If Anaheim wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Buffalo wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket:

    Distinct stance: Offers three separate market types—moneyline (Sabres vs. Ducks winner only), and multiple over/under totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 combined goals). Spread markets resolve on 2+ goal margins. Key quote: 'If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to Sabres. If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to Ducks' and 'This market will resolve to Ducks if the Ducks win the game by 2 or more goals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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