TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Rider Broncs and Niagara Purple Eagles scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this matchup, with different resolution mechanics across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Rider win and Niagara win) are specified to resolve to the same value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket has correct binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The resolution specification is logically broken - both Yes and No outcomes cannot occur simultaneously. Polymarket is the only reliable venue for this event. Contact Kalshi support to request clarification or market cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Correct binary winner-determination logic. Resolves to 'Rider Broncs' if Rider wins, 'Niagara Purple Eagles' if Niagara wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Critical logical error: both outcomes specified to resolve Yes. 'If Rider wins...resolves to Yes. If Niagara wins...resolves to Yes.' No mutually exclusive resolution paths exist, making settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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