TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B and SD Eibar will compete in a La Liga 2 (second division) match scheduled for April 2, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard league fixture where one team will win, or the match may end in a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three separate markets that each resolve YES for any single outcome (Eibar win, Tie, or Real Sociedad B win), creating logical redundancy and ambiguity about which market applies to which outcome. Polymarket offers three distinct binary markets (Real Sociedad B win, Draw, Eibar win) with mutually exclusive resolution criteria, providing clear one-to-one mapping between outcome and market resolution.Hero Tip:
If trading on Kalshi, clarify which of the three markets corresponds to your desired outcome, as all three appear to resolve YES under overlapping conditions. On Polymarket, each market has a single clear resolution path: bet the Real Sociedad B market for a Real Sociedad B win, the Draw market for a tie, or the Eibar market for an Eibar win. Polymarket's structure is more transparent for directional betting.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi presents three markets, each stating 'resolves to Yes' for a single outcome (Eibar win, Tie, or Real Sociedad B win), but does not explicitly clarify that these are mutually exclusive or how a trader selects the correct market for a given outcome. The structure implies all three markets exist in parallel, creating ambiguity about market selection logic.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with explicit one-to-one outcome mapping: 'Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win' (YES if Real Sociedad B wins, NO otherwise), 'Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar end in a draw' (YES if draw, NO otherwise), and 'Will SD Eibar win' (YES if Eibar wins, NO otherwise). Each market has a single resolution criterion and clear cancellation/postponement rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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