TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the La Liga soccer match between Real Oviedo and Athletic Club scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets track whether Oviedo wins, Athletic Club wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi omits cancellation logic entirely, while Polymarket explicitly assigns different resolutions to Draw (Yes) versus Win/Loss markets (No) in cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
Monitor for postponement vs. cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no rescheduled date, expect Polymarket Draw to resolve Yes and Win/Loss to resolve No, while Kalshi's behavior remains undefined. Request clarification from Kalshi support before Feb 15, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets: Oviedo Win (Yes if Oviedo wins, No otherwise or if canceled), Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled), Athletic Club Win (Yes if Athletic Club wins, No otherwise or if canceled). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup triggers platform-specific resolution.Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets all resolve to Yes if their condition is met (Oviedo win, Bilbao win, or tie). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Assumes match will occur as scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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