TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the La Liga match between Real Betis Balompié (home) and Sevilla FC scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) and goal-margin thresholds, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary outcomes (Betis Win, Draw, Sevilla Win) with explicit cancellation rules. Kalshi presents four markets that all reference goal-margin thresholds (1.5 and 2.5 goals) without clear delineation of which threshold applies to which market, creating potential overlap and ambiguity in resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Use Polymarket for straightforward match outcome exposure. For Kalshi, request clarification on whether each market has a single designated threshold or if both thresholds are evaluated per market. Avoid treating Kalshi markets as independent until the threshold assignment is confirmed.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three independent binary markets: (1) Betis Win resolves Yes if Betis wins in 90+stoppage, No otherwise; (2) Draw resolves Yes if match ends level, No otherwise (Yes if cancelled with no makeup); (3) Sevilla Win resolves Yes if Sevilla wins in 90+stoppage, No otherwise. Source: LaLiga.com. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw to Yes, others to No.Kalshi:
Four markets all stated to resolve Yes if either team wins by more than 1.5 OR more than 2.5 goals. Markets reference identical conditions without distinguishing which threshold applies to which market. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Key quote: 'If Real Betis wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Real Betis wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes'—both conditions listed for same outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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