TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the La Liga match between RCD Mallorca and Real Betis Balompié scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: match winner (Mallorca win, Betis win, or draw) and goal-margin thresholds (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal victories for either team). All markets settle on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms settle on the identical match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time using La Liga as the authoritative source; outcome-type differences (binary vs. margin-based) do not create logical conflict.
Primary resolution logic:
La Liga official match records and statistics (https://www.laliga.com/)Core resolution logic:
- Match result determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus referee stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from settlement
- Polymarket binary markets: Mallorca win resolves Yes if Mallorca scores more goals; Betis win resolves Yes if Betis scores more goals; draw resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals
- Kalshi margin markets: Betis >2.5 resolves Yes if Betis wins by 3+ goals; Betis >1.5 resolves Yes if Betis wins by 2+ goals; Mallorca >2.5 resolves Yes if Mallorca wins by 3+ goals; Mallorca >1.5 resolves Yes if Mallorca wins by 2+ goals
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes; Polymarket winner markets and all Kalshi markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: All markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played to completion
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes (per explicit rule); Polymarket winner markets resolve No; Kalshi margin markets resolve No
- Goal margin edge cases: A 2-0 victory resolves Yes for >1.5 margin markets but No for >2.5 margin markets; a 3-0 victory resolves Yes for both
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). If postponed, resolution is deferred until the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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