TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona will face Getafe CF in a La Liga match scheduled for March 21, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: an Espanyol win, a Getafe win, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Espanyol win, Draw, Getafe win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that ALL resolve YES regardless of match outcome, creating a logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms assuming consistent outcomes. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES and two will resolve NO. On Kalshi, all three markets resolve YES simultaneously, making Kalshi's markets logically incoherent for a single match outcome. Verify which platform you are trading on before placing bets.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets where the match outcome determines exactly one YES resolution. Each market (Espanyol win, Draw, Getafe win) resolves YES or NO based on the actual match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If RCD Espanyol de Barcelona wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and separately 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi defines three markets that each resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs, but the resolution logic is stated as three independent conditional statements that collectively guarantee all three markets resolve YES regardless of match outcome. The three conditions ('If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes', 'If Getafe wins... then resolves to Yes', 'If Espanyol wins... then resolves to Yes') cover all possible outcomes, meaning every market resolves YES no matter what happens. This creates a logical impossibility for a single match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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