TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Coupe de France soccer match between RC Strasbourg Alsace and Stade de Reims scheduled for March 3, 2026. Markets track whether Strasbourg wins, Reims wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi omits explicit postponement and cancellation handling, while Polymarket provides detailed contingency rules that create asymmetric resolution outcomes across the two platforms.Hero Tip:
Traders must account for postponement and cancellation risk separately on each platform. On Polymarket, a full cancellation with no make-up game favors draw backers (Yes) but penalizes win backers (No). Kalshi's silence on these scenarios creates settlement ambiguity. Monitor FFF official announcements for any schedule changes and verify the actual match result from the official Coupe de France source before claiming settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three separate binary markets (Tie Yes, Strasbourg Yes, Reims Yes) all resolve to Yes if their respective outcome occurs. No explicit rules for postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins the Strasbourg Alsace vs Reims professional Coupe de France soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Three linked markets (Draw Yes/No, Strasbourg Yes/No, Reims Yes/No) with explicit contingency handling. Postponement keeps markets open; full cancellation with no make-up resolves Draw to Yes and win markets to No. Key Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes [for draw] / No [for win markets].'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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