TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Toronto Raptors and Detroit Pistons scheduled for March 31 at 8:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Raptors" or "Pistons" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) resolve YES for ANY outcome (either team winning), creating a logical contradiction and making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets resolve to specific outcomes based on game results, with clear winner/loser determination and consistent threshold logic across all markets.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline markets entirely — they are logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of outcome. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which have coherent resolution logic: moneyline resolves to the winner, spreads resolve based on point differential, and player props resolve based on official NBA box scores.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Both markets (items 1-2) state 'If Detroit wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning the market resolves YES for every possible outcome. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Detroit wins the Toronto at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Toronto wins the Toronto at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with sound resolution logic: All markets resolve to specific outcomes based on game results. Moneyline (items 3-4) resolves to 'Raptors' or 'Pistons' based on winner. Spreads (items 5, 78) resolve based on point differential thresholds. Player props (items 16-77) resolve YES/NO based on official NBA box score statistics. Key quote: 'If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to Raptors. If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to Pistons.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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