TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 7:30PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (New York wins OR Toronto wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution logic where each outcome (Raptors win or Knicks win) resolves to a distinct result.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely — it contains a fatal logical flaw where both teams winning triggers a YES resolution, making it impossible to lose. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, player props, totals) use standard binary logic and are resolvable. Focus trading activity on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market states 'If New York wins the Toronto at New York professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto wins the Toronto at New York professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, with no NO resolution condition defined. This is a logical contradiction that violates basic market design.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard binary logic: Polymarket's moneyline market resolves to 'Raptors' if the Raptors win and 'Knicks' if the Knicks win, with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. All other Polymarket markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half markets) follow standard binary or ternary resolution logic with well-defined thresholds and sources (official NBA box score on NBA.com).
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