TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Rams Başakşehir FK and Konyaspor scheduled for February 27, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary outcomes for each team's victory and draw results. All markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic diverges between Polymarket's draw market (resolves YES on cancellation) and all other markets (resolve NO on cancellation). This creates an inconsistent outcome space where not all three mutually exclusive outcomes can be true simultaneously.Hero Tip:
Avoid arbitrage or cross-platform hedging until the draw market's cancellation clause is clarified with Polymarket support. If the game is canceled, the draw market will pay out while win markets will not—a unique asymmetry. Track TFF.org for schedule updates.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: (1) Başakşehir win resolves YES if team wins in 90+stoppage, NO if canceled; (2) Draw resolves YES if game ends tied in 90+stoppage, YES if canceled with no makeup; (3) Konyaspor win resolves YES if team wins in 90+stoppage, NO if canceled. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve No.'Kalshi:
Three separate binary markets covering Tie, Konyaspor win, and Başakşehir win outcomes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. All three markets resolve YES only if the specified outcome occurs; no explicit cancellation clause provided, implying markets remain open or resolve NO if game does not complete. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Basaksehir vs Konyaspor professional Super Lig soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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