TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between Rams Başakşehir FK and Antalyaspor.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Basaksehir win, Antalyaspor win, draw), each resolving independently to YES or NO based on match outcome. Kalshi presents three outcome options as a single market where exactly ONE resolves to YES. This creates a fundamental structural incompatibility: on Polymarket, multiple markets can resolve YES simultaneously (e.g., if the match is canceled, draw market resolves YES while both team-win markets resolve NO); on Kalshi, exactly one outcome always resolves YES, making cancellation scenarios impossible to represent.Hero Tip:
If you trade on both platforms, understand that Polymarket's three separate markets allow for scenarios where draw=YES and both team-wins=NO (e.g., cancellation). Kalshi's single-outcome structure guarantees exactly one resolution. A canceled match would resolve differently on each platform: Polymarket draw market YES, Kalshi draw option YES — but the structural logic is incompatible. Verify match status carefully before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket operates three independent binary markets. Each market (Basaksehir win, Antalyaspor win, draw) resolves YES or NO separately based on the 90-minute match outcome. Critically, if the game is canceled with no make-up, the draw market resolves YES while both team-win markets resolve NO, allowing multiple YES resolutions across the group. Primary source is TFF (Turkish Football Federation) official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi structures this as a single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Basaksehir win, Tie, Antalyaspor win), where exactly one resolves YES after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The rules do not explicitly address cancellation, but the mutually-exclusive-outcome design implies only one option can ever resolve YES. No primary source is specified; resolution basis is implicit in 'the Basaksehir vs Antalyaspor professional Super Lig soccer game.' Quote: 'If Basaksehir wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Antalyaspor wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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