TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Antalyaspor
polymarket
kalshi

Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Antalyaspor

Volume:
$308,580

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 18, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,697
N/A
N/A
$31,632
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Antalyaspor)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Basaksehir

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,608
N/A
N/A
$66,077
Settled
No
polymarket

Rams Başakşehir FK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Antalyaspor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,129
N/A
N/A
$25,792
Settled
No
polymarket

Antalyaspor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between Rams Başakşehir FK and Antalyaspor.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Basaksehir win, Antalyaspor win, draw), each resolving independently to YES or NO based on match outcome. Kalshi presents three outcome options as a single market where exactly ONE resolves to YES. This creates a fundamental structural incompatibility: on Polymarket, multiple markets can resolve YES simultaneously (e.g., if the match is canceled, draw market resolves YES while both team-win markets resolve NO); on Kalshi, exactly one outcome always resolves YES, making cancellation scenarios impossible to represent.Hero tip: If you trade on both platforms, understand that Polymarket's three separate markets allow for scenarios where draw=YES and both team-wins=NO (e.g., cancellation). Kalshi's single-outcome structure guarantees exactly one resolution. A canceled match would resolve differently on each platform: Polymarket draw market YES, Kalshi draw option YES — but the structural logic is incompatible. Verify match status carefully before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket operates three independent binary markets. Each market (Basaksehir win, Antalyaspor win, draw) resolves YES or NO separately based on the 90-minute match outcome. Critically, if the game is canceled with no make-up, the draw market resolves YES while both team-win markets resolve NO, allowing multiple YES resolutions across the group. Primary source is TFF (Turkish Football Federation) official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi structures this as a single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Basaksehir win, Tie, Antalyaspor win), where exactly one resolves YES after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The rules do not explicitly address cancellation, but the mutually-exclusive-outcome design implies only one option can ever resolve YES. No primary source is specified; resolution basis is implicit in 'the Basaksehir vs Antalyaspor professional Super Lig soccer game.' Quote: 'If Basaksehir wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Antalyaspor wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.