TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-one Rainbow Six Siege match between Wildcard Gaming and DarkZero Esports scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET as part of the North America League Kickoff Group B. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single competitive match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is self-contradictory and renders the market non-competitive. Both possible match outcomes (DarkZero Esports win OR Wildcard Gaming win) trigger a Yes resolution, eliminating the binary choice. Polymarket correctly defines a true binary outcome market.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the authoritative market for this event. Kalshi's market has a critical logical flaw that makes it unsuitable for directional trading on match outcome. If you hold Kalshi positions, expect resolution to Yes unless the match fails to occur or is forfeited before start.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
True binary outcome market. Resolves to Wildcard Gaming if they win, DarkZero Esports if they win. Falls back to 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeits. Uses Liquipedia as primary source with credible reporting consensus as fallback within 2 hours of conclusion.Kalshi:
Logically malformed market. Resolves to Yes if DarkZero Esports wins AND also resolves to Yes if Wildcard Gaming wins. This eliminates the binary outcome structure and makes the market a near-certainty bet rather than a competitive prediction.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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