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Rainbow Six Siege: Team Liquid vs Black Dragons e-Sports (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group A
kalshi
polymarket

Rainbow Six Siege: Team Liquid vs Black Dragons e-Sports (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group A

Volume:
$20,206

Black Dragons e-Sports

 - Kalshi

Black Dragons e-Sports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 31, 10:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Black Dragons e-Sports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,937
N/A
N/A
$6,333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Team Liquid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,711
N/A
N/A
$6,552
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Liquid and Black Dragons e-Sports in the South America League Kickoff Group A, scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET. The winner of the match determines the market resolution, with specific handling for cancellations, ties, forfeits, and delays.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution language is ambiguous regarding scope (match vs. tournament outcome), while Polymarket provides explicit match-level resolution with comprehensive edge-case handling. The divergence creates interpretation risk but does not render either market fundamentally unresolvable under standard match completion scenarios.Hero tip: For trading purposes, treat Polymarket as the authoritative resolution framework. Monitor Kalshi's official clarification on whether their market resolves on match outcome or tournament placement. If the match completes with a clear winner, both platforms should resolve consistently; divergence risk is highest in cancellation, tie, or forfeit scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolution criteria state that if either team wins the match, the market resolves to Yes. However, the phrasing conflates the match outcome with the tournament outcome ("wins the South America League Kickoff 2026"), creating ambiguity about whether the market resolves on match result or tournament placement. No explicit handling of cancellations, ties, or forfeits is provided.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team if the match is completed. Explicitly resolves to 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days without a winner, or pre-match forfeits. Mid-match forfeits or walkovers resolve to the winning team. Resolution source is Liquipedia with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting and video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.