TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of a single Best-of-One (BO1) Rainbow Six Siege match between M80 and Shopify Rebellion scheduled for April 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT as part of the North America League Kickoff Group A. The winner of the match determines the market resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary Yes/Yes structure that does not explicitly address cancellations, ties, delays, or forfeits, while Polymarket provides comprehensive edge-case rules including 50-50 resolution for ties, cancellations, and pre-match forfeits.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's explicit tie and cancellation rules (50-50 resolution) provide clarity that Kalshi lacks. If betting on Kalshi, request clarification on how non-completion scenarios resolve. Both platforms use Liquipedia as the primary source, but Polymarket allows consensus reporting if Liquipedia does not publish within 2 hours.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/Yes resolution: resolves Yes if M80 wins OR if Shopify Rebellion wins. Does not explicitly address cancellations, ties, delays, or forfeits. No fallback source or edge-case handling specified.Polymarket:
Explicit outcome mapping: resolves to M80 if M80 wins, Shopify Rebellion if Shopify Rebellion wins, and 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeits. Mid-match forfeits resolve to the winning team. Primary source is Liquipedia; consensus reporting allowed if Liquipedia does not publish within 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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