TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market group covers a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Fluxo W7M and LOUD in the South America League Kickoff Group B, scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. The match is a best-of-one (BO1) format, and the winner will be determined by standard competitive play or applicable forfeit/disqualification rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria are logically contradictory and unresolvable: both markets resolve to Yes regardless of match outcome, making it impossible to determine a winner. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths based on match result, with defined tie-breaking and cancellation rules.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi — the market is fundamentally broken due to logical contradiction in its settlement rules. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent resolution logic: Fluxo W7M wins if they beat LOUD, LOUD wins if they beat Fluxo W7M, and 50-50 resolution applies only to cancellations, ties, or forfeits.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Both resolution conditions resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. The market states 'If Fluxo W7M wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If LOUD wins... then the market resolves to Yes', meaning every possible match outcome triggers Yes resolution with no path to No.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Provides mutually exclusive binary outcomes — resolves to Fluxo W7M if they win, resolves to LOUD if LOUD wins, with explicit tie-breaking rules: 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days without a winner, or pre-match forfeits; winning team resolves normally if match begins and opponent forfeits mid-play. Resolution source is Liquipedia with 2-hour credible-reporting fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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