TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Five Fears and 1 of 30 in the North America League Kickoff Group A, originally scheduled for April 10, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this best-of-one match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers binary directional resolution (Five Fears vs 1 of 30 vs 50-50 tie/cancel), while Kalshi resolves to Yes for any winner outcome. Kalshi lacks explicit edge-case handling for cancellations, delays, or forfeits.Hero Tip:
Polymarket is the primary directional market with comprehensive edge-case rules. Kalshi functions as a 'match completion with winner' bet. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days without resolution, Polymarket resolves 50-50 but Kalshi's behavior is undefined—seek clarification from Kalshi before trading if concerned about delay risk.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary directional resolution: Five Fears wins → resolves Five Fears, 1 of 30 wins → resolves 1 of 30. Cancellation, tie, delay >7 days, or pre-match forfeit → 50-50. Mid-match forfeit/disqualification with a winner → resolves to winning team. Source: Liquipedia with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.Kalshi:
Yes resolution if either 1 of 30 OR Five Fears wins. No explicit handling of cancellations, ties, delays, or forfeits. Market structure treats both team victories identically as Yes outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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