This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Quinnipiac Bobcats and Canisius Golden Griffins scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-7.5 for Quinnipiac), and two over/under totals (138.5 and 137.5 combined points).
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Canisius win or Quinnipiac win) resolve to Yes, making the binary market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The current definition makes it impossible to determine a No outcome. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets are all properly structured and can be traded with confidence.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three distinct market types with clear binary or ternary outcomes: (1) Moneyline resolves to winner name; (2) Spread resolves to Quinnipiac if they win by 8+ points, otherwise Canisius; (3) Over/unders resolve based on combined score thresholds (139+ for 138.5 line, 138+ for 137.5 line). All include postponement and cancellation handling. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi:
Single market with contradictory resolution logic: states 'If Canisius wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Quinnipiac wins...resolves to Yes', leaving no logical path to a No resolution. This creates an unresolvable binary market. Key Quote: 'If Canisius wins the Quinnipiac at Canisius men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Quinnipiac wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.