TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Liaoning Tieren FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally broken: all three outcomes (Qingdao win, Liaoning win, tie) resolve to Yes, making it logically impossible to determine a single resolution. Polymarket correctly structures three mutually exclusive binary markets (one per outcome). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group. The platform's resolution rules are contradictory—every possible match outcome triggers a Yes resolution, rendering the market unresolvable. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are the only reliable settlement mechanism.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (correct logic): Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets—one for each outcome (Qingdao win, Liaoning win, draw). Exactly one will resolve Yes based on the 90-minute result. Primary source is official CSL statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Key quote: 'If Qingdao Xihaian FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'Kalshi:
Outlier (broken logic): Kalshi's three rules state that if Qingdao wins, market resolves Yes; if Liaoning wins, market resolves Yes; if tie occurs, market resolves Yes. This means all three possible outcomes trigger Yes, creating a logical contradiction that makes resolution impossible. Key quote: 'If Qingdao West Coast FC wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Liaoning Tieren wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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