TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC
polymarket
kalshi

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC

Volume:
$51,277

Draw (Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,215
N/A
N/A
$946
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Liaoning Tieren FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Liaoning Tieren

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,922
N/A
N/A
$1,564
Settled
No
polymarket

Qingdao Xihaian FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Qingdao West Coast FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,162
N/A
N/A
$4,146
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Liaoning Tieren FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally broken: all three outcomes (Qingdao win, Liaoning win, tie) resolve to Yes, making it logically impossible to determine a single resolution. Polymarket correctly structures three mutually exclusive binary markets (one per outcome). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group. The platform's resolution rules are contradictory—every possible match outcome triggers a Yes resolution, rendering the market unresolvable. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are the only reliable settlement mechanism.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets—one for each outcome (Qingdao win, Liaoning win, draw). Exactly one will resolve Yes based on the 90-minute result. Primary source is official CSL statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Key quote: 'If Qingdao Xihaian FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier (broken logic): Kalshi's three rules state that if Qingdao wins, market resolves Yes; if Liaoning wins, market resolves Yes; if tie occurs, market resolves Yes. This means all three possible outcomes trigger Yes, creating a logical contradiction that makes resolution impossible. Key quote: 'If Qingdao West Coast FC wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Liaoning Tieren wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.