TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Purdue Boilermakers and Northwestern Wildcats scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of which team wins the game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive game outcomes (Northwestern win and Purdue win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the Purdue outcome should resolve to No instead of Yes. Polymarket is the reliable reference market with standard binary logic.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Standard binary winner-take-all structure. Purdue victory resolves to 'Purdue Boilermakers', Northwestern victory resolves to 'Northwestern Wildcats'. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Logically contradictory Yes/Yes mapping. Both 'If Northwestern wins' and 'If Purdue wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible resolution scenario where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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