Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (win, loss, draw), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured.
Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely. The three Kalshi conditions cover every possible match result, guaranteeing a YES resolution regardless of outcome. Polymarket's three binary markets (PSV win, draw, PEC Zwolle win) are logically sound and mutually exclusive — bet there instead.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three mutually exclusive binary markets: PSV Win (YES if PSV wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), PEC Zwolle Win (YES if PEC Zwolle wins, NO otherwise). Exactly one resolves YES. Cancellation without makeup resolves Draw to YES, others to NO.
Kalshi:
Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Tie wins... then YES', 'If Eindhoven wins... then YES', 'If Zwolle wins... then YES'. All three outcomes trigger YES resolution. This is a logical contradiction — the market cannot fail to resolve YES.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.