TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Presbyterian Blue Hose and USC Upstate Spartans scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (Presbyterian -1.5), and multiple over/under totals (139.5, 140.5, 141.5). Resolution is based on final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Presbyterian win and USC Upstate win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable markets for moneyline, spread, and multiple over/under thresholds. Request Kalshi clarification on whether the market should resolve Yes if the game is played (regardless of winner) or if the Yes/No mapping needs correction.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Five distinct, logically consistent markets: (1) Moneyline resolves to winner name; (2) Spread (-1.5) resolves to Presbyterian if win by 2+, else USC Upstate; (3-5) Over/unders at 139.5, 140.5, 141.5 resolve based on combined score. All postponed games remain open; canceled games resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Presbyterian Blue Hose win, the market will resolve to Presbyterian Blue Hose. If the USC Upstate Spartans win, the market will resolve to USC Upstate Spartans.'Kalshi:
Single market with contradictory resolution logic: both Presbyterian win and USC Upstate win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible binary outcome. No clear mapping to Yes or No based on game result. Key Quote: 'If Presbyterian wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If USC Upstate wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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