Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Pohang win, Draw, Seoul win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines a single market where ALL three outcomes (Seoul win, Pohang win, or Tie) resolve to YES, making Kalshi's market logically impossible and fundamentally unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction: the resolution criteria state that if Seoul wins, Pohang wins, OR a tie occurs, the market resolves YES — meaning the market will always resolve YES regardless of the match outcome. This makes it unresolvable and creates extreme counterparty risk. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are logically sound and tradeable.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (sound logic): Polymarket offers three separate binary markets where exactly one outcome per match resolves YES. Market 1 resolves YES if Pohang wins, NO otherwise. Market 2 resolves YES if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Market 3 resolves YES if Seoul wins, NO otherwise. All three use the same primary source (official K League statistics) and scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Quote: 'If Pohang Steelers FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Kalshi:
Outlier (logical contradiction): Kalshi defines a single market with three resolution criteria that all trigger YES: 'If Seoul wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Pohang Steelers wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Since one of these three outcomes must occur in any completed match, the market will always resolve YES, making it unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.