TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.8b

24H VOL:

$236,615,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,069,390

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,344,513,070

577,941

Markets across

14,530

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,090

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
kalshi
polymarket

Pistons vs. Spurs? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$4,209,023
PredictionHero
Spread -3.5 100%
polymarket
Spread -2.5 100%
polymarket
San Antonio wins by over 4.5 Points 100%
kalshi
Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Mar 5, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Description

This event group covers the NBA game between the Detroit Pistons and San Antonio Spurs scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half derivatives across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi provides 11 point-differential conditions without explicit market identifiers, while Polymarket defines spreads using standard NBA convention. The Kalshi conditions may represent multiple spread legs or prop markets, but mapping is unclear.

Hero Tip:

Request Kalshi market IDs and explicit spread thresholds. Polymarket spreads (Spurs -3.5, Spurs -2.5) are standard and unambiguous. Do not assume Kalshi conditions correspond 1:1 to Polymarket spreads without confirmation.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi:

    11 binary conditions tied to San Antonio or Detroit win margins (e.g., 'San Antonio wins by more than 7.5 points', 'Detroit wins by more than 2.5 points'). No explicit spread market labels. Conditions are: SA +7.5, SA +16.5, SA +1.5, DET +2.5, DET +11.5, SA +13.5, SA +10.5, DET +8.5, SA +19.5, SA +4.5, DET +5.5. Unclear which condition(s) define a single market.
  • Polymarket:

    Two explicit spread markets: Spurs -3.5 (Spurs win by 4+ = Yes, otherwise No) and Spurs -2.5 (Spurs win by 3+ = Yes, otherwise No). Standard NBA spread convention. Moneyline and first-half derivatives also clearly defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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