TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Detroit Pistons and Toronto Raptors scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline, spreads, over/under totals, player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Toronto win and Detroit win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets 1-2 until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. All other markets (Polymarket spreads, props, O/U, first-half variants) follow standard NBA settlement rules: final score including overtime, official NBA.com box score, 50-50 split if game is canceled with no makeup, and market remains open if postponed until completion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Markets 1-2 state: 'If Toronto wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Detroit wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same result. The market as written is unresolvable.Polymarket:
Markets 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19, 21, 23, 25, 27, 29, 31, 33, 35, 37, 39, 41, 43, 45, 47, 49, 51, 53, 55, 57, 59, 61, 63, 65, 67, 69, 71, 73, 75, 77, 79, 81, 83, 85, 87, 89, 91, 93, 95, 97, 99, 101, 103, 105, 107, 109, 111, 113, 115, 117, 119, 121, 123, 125, 127, 129, 131 all use clear binary logic: Pistons or Raptors (or Over/Under), with explicit tie-handling and postponement rules. Source: NBA.com official box score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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