TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$289,551,806

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,114,870

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,385,684,468

582,866

Markets across

14,512

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
kalshi
polymarket

PGA Tour: THE PLAYERS Championship Winner? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$91,916,031
PredictionHero
Cameron Young 100%
polymarket
Cameron Young 100%
kalshi
Taylor Moore 0%
polymarket
Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Mar 14, 8:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Description

This event group covers prediction markets on who will win the 2026 PGA Tour THE PLAYERS Championship. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer individual player winner markets, with Kalshi using a simple Yes/No structure for each listed player and Polymarket offering individual Yes/No markets plus an 'Any Other Player' catch-all option.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution logic: official PGA Tour tournament results as the binding source, with consistent handling of ties via PGA Tour official rules and alphabetical tiebreaker on Polymarket.

Primary resolution logic:

PGA Tour official website (https://www.pgatour.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if the named player wins the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship tournament
  • Market resolves NO if the named player does not win or is eliminated from contention
  • In case of a tie, the official PGA Tour tournament rules determine the sole winner
  • If multiple winners are announced, Polymarket applies alphabetical tiebreaker on last name
  • If an unlisted player wins, Polymarket 'Any Other Player' market resolves YES; individual player markets resolve NO
  • Resolution source is official PGA Tour results published on pgatour.com

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Tie Resolution: Both platforms defer to official PGA Tour rules for determining a single winner in case of a tie. Polymarket adds an alphabetical last-name tiebreaker if multiple winners are announced.
  • Unlisted Player Wins: If a player not listed on either platform wins the tournament, Polymarket's 'Any Other Player' market resolves YES while all individual player markets resolve NO. Kalshi has no catch-all mechanism.
  • Player Elimination: If a listed player is eliminated from contention based on official tournament rules, Polymarket immediately resolves that player's market to NO.
  • No Winner by Deadline: If no winner is announced by March 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi does not specify a deadline.

Timing:

Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship winner by the PGA Tour, with a hard deadline of March 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET for Polymarket markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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