TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$289,551,806
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,385,684,468
582,866
Markets across
14,512
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,139
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Will Matthew McCarty win the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Amount
$
$20
$50
$100
$500
Trade on
Trade on Kalshi
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 1¢ buys you 10,000 shares | Odds: 1% Total Payout: $10,000 | Net Profit: $9,900 Multiplier: 100.00x | ROI: 9,900% APY not meaningful
Trade on Polymarket
At 0.1¢ buys you 100,000 shares | Odds: 0.1% Total Payout: $100,000 | Net Profit: $99,900 Multiplier: 1000.00x | ROI: 99,900% APY not meaningfulOutcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks the winner of the PGA Tour's Texas Children's Houston Open, a professional golf tournament held annually in Houston, Texas. The market resolves to Yes if any of the 131 listed golfers wins the tournament, and implicitly resolves to No if a golfer not on this list wins the event.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket differ in scope and resolution mechanics. Kalshi lists 140 individual binary markets (one per player), each resolving YES if that specific player wins. Polymarket uses a single consolidated market structure with named players plus an 'Any Other Player' catch-all option, and includes explicit tie-breaking and deadline rules absent from Kalshi.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on a single named player in isolation—exactly one market resolves YES. On Polymarket, you are betting within a unified market where the winner is determined by PGA Tour official results, with alphabetical tie-breaking and an April 4, 2026 deadline. Ensure your position matches the platform's settlement model: Kalshi is player-specific binary; Polymarket is tournament-outcome with catch-all coverage.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi operates 140 separate binary markets, one per player, each with independent YES/NO resolution tied solely to whether that named player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open. No tie-breaking rules, no catch-all, no explicit deadline. Each market resolves YES if and only if the named player wins; otherwise NO. Quote: 'If [Player X] wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket uses a unified tournament-outcome market structure with named player options plus 'Any Other Player' as a catch-all. Includes explicit tie-breaking (alphabetical by last name), a hard deadline (April 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET), and immediate elimination rules for players removed from contention. Quote: 'If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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