TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
PGA Tour: Texas Children's Houston Open Winner
kalshi
polymarket

PGA Tour: Texas Children's Houston Open Winner

Volume:
$38,976,921

Matthew McCarty

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 30, 2026

Will Matthew McCarty win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

1%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 1¢ buys you 10,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $10,000 | Net Profit: $9,900 Multiplier: 100.00x | ROI: 9,900% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Matthew McCarty

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1,536
0%
N/A
$1,536
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Matt McCarty

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
kalshi

Gary Woodland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,515,720
N/A
N/A
$2,098,110
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gary Woodland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nicolai Hojgaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,226,723
N/A
N/A
$1,481,534
Settled
No
polymarket

Nicolai Hojgaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Min Woo Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,965,873
N/A
N/A
$1,808,155
Settled
No
polymarket

Min Woo Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Thorbjornsen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,835,102
N/A
N/A
$1,414,098
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,473,565
N/A
N/A
$1,124,969
Settled
No
polymarket

Chris Gotterup

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooks Koepka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,388,608
N/A
N/A
$1,128,689
Settled
No
polymarket

Brooks Koepka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jason Day

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,331,918
N/A
N/A
$846,598
Settled
No
polymarket

Jason Day

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,879
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Burns

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,301,337
N/A
N/A
$1,026,050
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam Burns

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Knapp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,074,458
N/A
N/A
$948,138
Settled
No
polymarket

Jake Knapp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Paul Waring

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$956,574
N/A
N/A
$923,102
Settled
No
kalshi

Marco Penge

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$931,875
N/A
N/A
$780,629
Settled
No
polymarket

Marco Penge

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sahith Theegala

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$907,031
N/A
N/A
$826,678
Settled
No
kalshi

Tony Finau

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$813,495
N/A
N/A
$804,070
Settled
No
polymarket

Tony Finau

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 260

Description

This event group tracks the winner of the PGA Tour's Texas Children's Houston Open, a professional golf tournament held annually in Houston, Texas. The market resolves to Yes if any of the 131 listed golfers wins the tournament, and implicitly resolves to No if a golfer not on this list wins the event.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket differ in scope and resolution mechanics. Kalshi lists 140 individual binary markets (one per player), each resolving YES if that specific player wins. Polymarket uses a single consolidated market structure with named players plus an 'Any Other Player' catch-all option, and includes explicit tie-breaking and deadline rules absent from Kalshi.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on a single named player in isolation—exactly one market resolves YES. On Polymarket, you are betting within a unified market where the winner is determined by PGA Tour official results, with alphabetical tie-breaking and an April 4, 2026 deadline. Ensure your position matches the platform's settlement model: Kalshi is player-specific binary; Polymarket is tournament-outcome with catch-all coverage.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi operates 140 separate binary markets, one per player, each with independent YES/NO resolution tied solely to whether that named player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open. No tie-breaking rules, no catch-all, no explicit deadline. Each market resolves YES if and only if the named player wins; otherwise NO. Quote: 'If [Player X] wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses a unified tournament-outcome market structure with named player options plus 'Any Other Player' as a catch-all. Includes explicit tie-breaking (alphabetical by last name), a hard deadline (April 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET), and immediate elimination rules for players removed from contention. Quote: 'If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.