TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets for the winner of the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, a PGA Tour tournament. Markets are offered on Polymarket (individual player yes/no contracts plus an 'Any Other Player' catch-all) and Kalshi (a single yes/no contract covering 80 named players). Resolution depends on official PGA Tour tournament results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms defer to official PGA Tour results published on pgatour.com as the authoritative resolution source, with aligned treatment of ties and unlisted winners.
Primary resolution logic:
PGA Tour official website (https://www.pgatour.com/)Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if the named player wins the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am according to official PGA Tour results
- In case of a tie, the official winner is determined by PGA Tour tournament rules; if multiple winners are announced, Polymarket resolves to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically
- If an unlisted player wins, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi implicitly resolves all non-listed players to 'No'
- If a player is eliminated from contention based on official tournament rules, Polymarket immediately resolves to 'No'
- If no winner is announced by February 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Tie Resolution: Both platforms defer to official PGA Tour rules. Polymarket adds a tiebreaker: if multiple winners are announced, resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- Unlisted Player Wins: Polymarket: resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi: implicitly resolves to 'No' for all 80 named player markets, as the contract only covers those 80 specific players.
- Player Elimination: Polymarket explicitly states that if a player is eliminated from contention based on official tournament rules, the market immediately resolves to 'No'.
- No Winner by Deadline: Polymarket: resolves to 'Other' if no winner is announced by February 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Kalshi has no explicit deadline stated.
- Data Quality Issue: Polymarket includes 104 questions (67 named players, 18 placeholder 'Player X' entries, and 1 'Any Other Player' catch-all). Kalshi covers 80 named players. The placeholder entries on Polymarket ('Player 0', 'Player 2', etc.) lack clear player identification and may create ambiguity at resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am winner by the PGA Tour, with a hard deadline of February 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET on Polymarket.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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