TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner
polymarket
kalshi

PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner

Volume:
$48,864,917

Akshay Bhatia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 9, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Akshay Bhatia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,945,139
N/A
N/A
$2,837,023
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Akshay Bhatia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,091
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Berger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,858,705
N/A
N/A
$3,011,830
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniel Berger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,406,444
N/A
N/A
$3,058,256
Settled
No
polymarket

Scottie Scheffler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Collin Morikawa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,146,255
N/A
N/A
$2,717,033
Settled
No
polymarket

Collin Morikawa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,089,557
N/A
N/A
$1,867,913
Settled
No
polymarket

Ludvig Aberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Young

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,708,677
N/A
N/A
$1,625,212
Settled
No
polymarket

Cameron Young

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,808,285
N/A
N/A
$1,470,321
Settled
No
polymarket

Chris Gotterup

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,512
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sepp Straka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,453,840
N/A
N/A
$1,142,281
Settled
No
polymarket

Sepp Straka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,402,118
N/A
N/A
$1,017,372
Settled
No
polymarket

Rory McIlroy

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sahith Theegala

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,089,351
N/A
N/A
$1,043,850
Settled
No
polymarket

Sahith Theegala

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Min Woo Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,033,231
N/A
N/A
$900,385
Settled
No
polymarket

Min Woo Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Viktor Hovland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$893,219
N/A
N/A
$769,208
Settled
No
polymarket

Viktor Hovland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Xander Schauffele

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$860,703
N/A
N/A
$660,546
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 170

Description

This event group covers prediction markets for the winner of the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, a PGA Tour golf tournament. Polymarket offers individual binary markets for 99 listed players plus an 'Other' catchall, while Kalshi offers a single market that resolves Yes if any of 73 named players wins the tournament.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution logic anchored to official PGA Tour results, with consistent handling of ties, unlisted winners, and deadline expiration.Primary resolution logic: PGA Tour official tournament results published at pgatour.com

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the official winner as declared by PGA Tour official tournament rules
  • In case of a tie, the market resolves to the official PGA Tour-designated winner
  • If multiple winners are announced, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically is selected
  • If a listed player is eliminated from contention based on official tournament rules, that player's market resolves to No
  • If an unlisted player wins, Polymarket resolves to Other and Kalshi resolves to No
  • If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to Other and Kalshi resolves to No

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie Resolution: If multiple players finish with identical scores, the official PGA Tour-designated winner is used. If PGA Tour designates multiple winners, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically wins.
  • Unlisted Player Victory: If a player not listed on either platform wins the tournament, Polymarket resolves to Other and Kalshi resolves to No.
  • Player Elimination: If a listed player is eliminated from contention per official tournament rules, their individual Polymarket market immediately resolves to No.
  • Deadline Expiration: If no winner is officially announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to Other and Kalshi resolves to No.
  • Player Roster Discrepancy: Polymarket lists 99 players (including placeholder entries like Player 0, Player 1, etc.) while Kalshi lists 73 named players. Both platforms cover the same core set of professional golfers, with Polymarket offering broader coverage including speculative slots.
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately upon official PGA Tour announcement of the tournament winner. If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, markets resolve to Other (Polymarket) or No (Kalshi).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.