TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Penn State Nittany Lions and Rutgers Scarlet Knights scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -4.5 and -5.5, and total points over/under at 149.5 and 150.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Penn State victory and Rutgers victory are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket markets are logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. The specification error makes it impossible to determine the correct resolution outcome. Trade Polymarket's moneyline and derivative markets instead, which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether the market should resolve Yes only for Penn State, Yes only for Rutgers, or use an alternative structure.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to Penn State Nittany Lions if Penn State wins, or Rutgers Scarlet Knights if Rutgers wins. Spread markets (-4.5 and -5.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Over/Under markets (149.5 and 150.5) resolve based on combined score. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup game. Key quote: 'If the Penn State Nittany Lions win, the market will resolve to Penn State Nittany Lions. If the Rutgers Scarlet Knights win, the market will resolve to Rutgers Scarlet Knights.'Kalshi:
Moneyline market specifies both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Penn St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Rutgers wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where two mutually exclusive events cannot be distinguished in the resolution outcome. No edge case handling or cancellation logic is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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