TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 9 at 7:00PM ET: If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins". If the Devils win, the market will resolve to "Devils". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides complete, detailed resolution rules for 9 distinct markets (moneyline, multiple over/under thresholds, and spreads) with explicit handling of postponements, cancellations, and shootout scoring. Kalshi provides only a single binary market with incomplete resolution logic that fails to specify outcome determination, edge case handling, or data source, making it fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market without clarification from the platform. The Kalshi market states 'If NJ Devils wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If PIT Penguins wins...then resolves to Yes' — both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes simultaneously. Polymarket markets are fully specified and tradeable; Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction that prevents settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier: Provides 9 distinct, fully specified markets covering moneyline, over/under totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5), and spreads (-1.5, -2.5) with explicit resolution rules for each. Each market specifies the exact threshold, outcome determination method (final score including overtime and shootouts, with one goal added in shootout scenarios), and edge case handling (postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50). Source is NHL.com official scores.Kalshi:
Outlier: Provides a single market with a logical contradiction: 'If NJ Devils wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If PIT Penguins wins...resolves to Yes' — both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. No specification of how the winner is determined, no edge case handling for postponement or cancellation, no data source cited, and no mechanism to distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes. Market is unresolvable as written.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.