TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 7:30PM ET: If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, detailed market definitions across 93 markets covering moneyline, spreads, totals, player props, and half-game variants with explicit resolution sources (NBA.com official box scores). Kalshi provides only a single binary market that resolves YES if either team wins, creating a logical contradiction: both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to YES, making the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as currently defined. The resolution rule 'If Boston wins...then resolves to Yes. If New Orleans wins...then resolves to Yes' is logically impossible — both teams cannot win the same game. Polymarket markets are resolvable and should be your primary reference. Clarify with Kalshi whether their market should resolve YES only if a specific team wins, or if this is a placeholder for a binary outcome market.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (in scope and clarity): Polymarket provides 93 distinct, well-defined markets with explicit resolution logic for each. Markets cover moneyline (Pelicans vs. Celtics), spreads (Celtics -16.5, -17.5; 1H spreads -9.5, -10.5, -11.5), totals (O/U 223.5, 224.5, 225.5, 226.5, 227.5; 1H O/U 111.5, 114.5, 115.5, 116.5), first-half moneyline, and 40+ player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists for Jaylen Brown, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Baylor Scheierman, Derrick White, Neemias Queta, Sam Hauser, Jordan Poole, Micah Peavy). Each market specifies: threshold (e.g., 'Celtics win by 17 or more points'), resolution source ('official NBA box score as published on NBA.com'), and edge cases ('If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50'). All markets are logically consistent and independently resolvable.Kalshi:
Outlier (data integrity failure): Kalshi provides a single market with a logical contradiction in its resolution rule: 'If Boston wins the New Orleans at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New Orleans wins the New Orleans at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This rule states that the market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Boston win OR New Orleans win), which is logically impossible in a binary market. Exactly one team must win; therefore, both conditions cannot be true simultaneously. The market is unresolvable as written and lacks any specification of what outcome would resolve to NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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