TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, April 28, 2026 between Paris Saint-Germain FC and FC Bayern München.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms resolve based on the official match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 28, 2026, with identical three-way logic: PSG win resolves YES on Polymarket PSG market, Bayern win resolves YES on Polymarket Bayern market, and draw resolves YES on Polymarket draw market, while Kalshi's single market resolves YES for any outcome (PSG win, Bayern win, or tie).
Primary resolution logic:
Official UEFA statistics and governing body records, with fallback to consensus credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by goals scored within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
- PSG win: Polymarket PSG market resolves YES, Bayern and draw markets resolve NO; Kalshi market resolves YES.
- Bayern win: Polymarket Bayern market resolves YES, PSG and draw markets resolve NO; Kalshi market resolves YES.
- Draw: Polymarket draw market resolves YES, PSG and Bayern markets resolve NO; Kalshi market resolves YES.
- Exactly one outcome will occur; all three Polymarket markets cannot simultaneously resolve YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, Polymarket markets remain open until the game is completed; Kalshi rules do not explicitly address postponement but standard practice would keep the market open pending completion.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket PSG and Bayern markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES; Kalshi rules do not address cancellation explicitly.
- Resolution Timing: Official UEFA statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official match conclusion and publication of final statistics by UEFA or governing body, or upon consensus credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours post-match.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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