TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of a Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC Champions League match scheduled for March 11, 2026. Markets across platforms assess which team leads at the 45-minute mark (plus stoppage time) or whether the match is tied at halftime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory: it specifies that all three mutually exclusive halftime outcomes (PSG win, Chelsea win, Tie) resolve to Yes, making it impossible to settle to a single resolution. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with proper mutual exclusivity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It cannot be resolved. Trade Polymarket's three separate binary markets (PSG leading at halftime Yes/No, Chelsea leading at halftime Yes/No, Draw at halftime Yes/No), which are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market structure resolves all three outcomes to Yes. Specification states: If Chelsea wins halftime, resolve Yes; if PSG wins halftime, resolve Yes; if Tie at halftime, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome is marked Yes, making the market unresolvable to a single state.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive logic. PSG leading market resolves Yes only if PSG leads at halftime, otherwise No. Chelsea leading market resolves Yes only if Chelsea leads at halftime, otherwise No. Draw market resolves Yes only if halftime is tied, otherwise No. Exactly one of the three must resolve Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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