On April 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, the Florida Panthers will face the Pittsburgh Penguins in an NHL regular season game. Markets cover three dimensions: (1) the moneyline winner, (2) combined total goals across multiple thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and (3) binary outcome on either team winning. Resolution depends on the final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the scheduled game date: Kalshi references April 4, 2026, while Polymarket references April 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This timing mismatch creates uncertainty about which game event serves as the resolution basis.
Hero Tip:
If you trade on both platforms, verify the actual NHL schedule for the Panthers vs. Penguins matchup in early April 2026. A one-day discrepancy could mean you are betting on different games entirely. Confirm the official game date before placing positions on both platforms.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Resolves based on the Florida at Pittsburgh professional hockey game scheduled for April 4, 2026. The market resolves YES if either the Penguins or Panthers wins, creating a binary outcome with no distinction between the two teams. Key quote: 'If PIT Penguins wins the Florida at Pittsburgh professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FLA Panthers wins the Florida at Pittsburgh professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket:
Outlier: Resolves based on the NHL game scheduled for April 5 at 3:00 PM ET with multiple distinct markets covering winner selection, over/under totals at multiple thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5 goals), and spread outcomes. The winner market resolves to either 'Panthers' or 'Penguins' (not a binary YES/NO), and all markets include explicit postponement and cancellation protocols. Key quote: 'In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 5 at 3:00PM ET: If the Panthers win, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.