TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional Euroleague basketball game between Panathinaikos BC and BC Zalgiris Kaunas scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Panathinaikos win or Zalgiris win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution with proper edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the authoritative resolution source. Kalshi's market structure violates fundamental binary market logic and should not be traded until the platform corrects the resolution conditions. The contradiction suggests a template error rather than intentional design.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Logical contradiction: both conditional outcomes resolve to Yes. Market states If Panathinaikos wins then Yes, AND If Zalgiris wins then Yes. This creates an unresolvable binary market with no No outcome path.Polymarket:
Standard binary resolution: Panathinaikos win resolves to Panathinaikos, Zalgiris win resolves to Zalgiris Kaunas. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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