TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.8b

24H VOL:

$257,828,392

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,069,390

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,354,664,501

579,454

Markets across

14,299

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,106

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
kalshi
polymarket
Trending
Sports

Pacers vs. Spurs? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$8,365,984
PredictionHero
San Antonio 100%
kalshi
O/U 234.5 100%
polymarket
O/U 233.5 100%
polymarket
Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Mar 21, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's moneyline markets resolve YES for both possible outcomes (Indiana wins OR San Antonio wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures its markets with mutually exclusive outcomes (Pacers vs. Spurs, Over vs. Under, etc.), allowing proper settlement.

Hero Tip:

Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game outcome, making it impossible to lose. Polymarket's markets are properly structured and resolvable. Trade only on Polymarket for this event.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi:

    Outlier: Contains a critical logical flaw in its moneyline market. The resolution criteria state 'If Indiana wins the Indiana at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If San Antonio wins the Indiana at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for both possible outcomes, violating basic binary market logic and making settlement impossible.

  • Polymarket:

    Aligned with proper market structure: Polymarket's moneyline market correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes — 'If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to Pacers. If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to Spurs.' All other Polymarket markets (spreads, totals, player props) follow standard binary or categorical resolution logic with clear thresholds and no contradictions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.