TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Orlando City SC and Inter Miami CF scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Orlando City win, Inter Miami win, or draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market treats game cancellation (with no makeup) as a draw resolution, while Kalshi's draw market only resolves Yes if the game is played and ends in a tie. This creates a settlement divergence in the cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
Monitor official MLS schedule for any cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs with no makeup game, Polymarket draw positions will resolve Yes while Kalshi draw positions will not. Consider your platform mix and adjust hedges if cancellation risk rises.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Orlando win (Yes/No), Inter Miami win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). Draw market explicitly resolves Yes if game is canceled with no makeup. Win markets resolve No if canceled. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets covering Tie, Orlando win, and Miami win, each resolving Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard market practice would be to void or resolve based on official MLS determination, not auto-resolve to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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