TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between Olympique Lyonnais and RC Celta de Vigo.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket settles on match outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, while Kalshi settles on total goals scored by both teams combined. These are fundamentally different settlement dimensions—Polymarket determines WHO wins, Kalshi determines HOW MANY goals are scored.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on the match result (Lyon win, Celta win, or draw). If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on goal totals (over/under thresholds: 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 goals combined). These outcomes are independent: a Lyon 2-0 win satisfies Polymarket's 'Lyon wins' AND Kalshi's 'over 1.5 goals', but a 1-0 Lyon win satisfies Polymarket's 'Lyon wins' but NOT Kalshi's 'over 1.5 goals'. Do not assume one platform's result predicts the other.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on match outcome (winner or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three separate binary markets determine which team wins or if the result is a draw. Key quote: 'If Olympique Lyonnais wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes.'Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on total goals scored by both teams combined (four separate over/under markets at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 thresholds). Key quote: 'If Celta Vigo and Lyon collectively score more than [threshold] total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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