TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Coupe de France soccer match between Olympique Lyonnais and Racing Club de Lens scheduled for March 5, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket predict the outcome (Lyon win, Lens win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation rule, while Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation but win markets resolve No, creating asymmetric resolution logic.Hero Tip:
In a cancellation scenario, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while win markets resolve No. This creates a logical gap. Confirm with both platforms whether postponements keep markets open indefinitely or trigger resolution. Hedge by understanding each platform's official cancellation policy before game day.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three binary markets covering Lyon win, Lens win, and Tie, each resolving Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implies exactly one market resolves Yes.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Lyon win Yes/No, Lens win Yes/No, Draw Yes/No). Postponements keep markets open until completion. Cancellations with no makeup: Lyon win resolves No, Lens win resolves No, Draw resolves Yes. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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