TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz
polymarket
kalshi

Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz

Volume:
$1,816,920

Olympique de Marseille

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 3:05 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Olympique de Marseille

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,302,512
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marseille

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$164,276
N/A
N/A
$118,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Metz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$192,644
N/A
N/A
$126,922
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Metz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,697
N/A
N/A
$27,877
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Friday, April 10, 2026 between Olympique de Marseille and FC Metz.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Marseille win, draw, Metz win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three independent YES-only markets that all resolve YES simultaneously regardless of match outcome, creating a logical contradiction.Hero tip: Do not trade across both platforms on this event. Polymarket markets are standard mutually exclusive outcomes (only one can win). Kalshi markets appear to be structured as three separate affirmations of the same match result, meaning all three Kalshi markets will resolve YES to the same outcome. Clarify Kalshi's intent before trading—if all three markets truly resolve YES for any result, this is a critical data integrity failure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Marseille win, draw, or Metz win) will resolve YES and the other two resolve NO. Each market has independent resolution logic tied to the match result: 'If Olympique de Marseille wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' for the Marseille market; 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' for the draw market; and 'If FC Metz wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' for the Metz market.
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi defines three markets using identical resolution language where each market resolves YES if its specified outcome occurs: 'If Marseille wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' 'If Metz wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' and 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This structure implies all three markets resolve YES simultaneously for the actual match result, contradicting the standard mutually exclusive outcome model.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.