TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 16 at 2:15PM ET: If the Olympiacos B.C. win, the market will resolve to "Olympiacos B.C.". If the Olimpia Milano win, the market will resolve to "Olimpia Milano". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes (BC Olympiakos wins OR Olimpia Milano wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it resolves Yes regardless of which team wins, which violates basic binary market structure. Polymarket is the only usable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clear binary resolution: Olympiacos B.C. win resolves to 'Olympiacos B.C.', Olimpia Milano win resolves to 'Olimpia Milano'. Includes edge cases for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Source: Euroleague Basketball official.Kalshi:
Logical contradiction in resolution rules: 'If BC Olympiakos Piraeus wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Olimpia Milano wins...then resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to determine a No outcome. No cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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