This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between Olimpia Milano and BC Dubai scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. The markets track the outcome of this single game, with resolution dependent on which team wins.
Kalshi market definition is logically contradictory: both possible game outcomes (Dubai win and Olimpia Milano win) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid No resolution state. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until clarification. Polymarket's binary outcome structure (Olimpia Milano vs BC Dubai) is logically sound and should be treated as the authoritative reference. Kalshi likely contains a drafting error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Declares both Dubai win and Olimpia Milano win resolve to Yes. No explicit No condition. Key Quote: 'If Dubai Basketball wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Olimpia Milano wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility.
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market: Olimpia Milano win resolves to 'Olimpia Milano', BC Dubai win resolves to 'BC Dubai'. Includes explicit postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) rules. Logically coherent.
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