TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Oklahoma State Cowboys and UCF Knights scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline winner, over/under totals at multiple thresholds, and point spread outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (UCF win or Oklahoma State win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary choice. Polymarket correctly resolves to the actual winner's name.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline—it is broken. For moneyline exposure, use Polymarket only. Spread and total markets are consistent and resolvable across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market resolves Yes for both UCF win and Oklahoma State win outcomes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two teams. Quote: 'If UCF wins the Oklahoma St. at UCF men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma St. wins the Oklahoma St. at UCF men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline market resolves to the actual winner: Oklahoma State Cowboys if they win, UCF Knights if they win. This is standard binary resolution. Quote: 'If the Oklahoma State Cowboys win, the market will resolve to Oklahoma State Cowboys. If the UCF Knights win, the market will resolve to UCF Knights.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.