TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. UCF Knights
kalshi
polymarket

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. UCF Knights

Volume:
$2,744,136

Oklahoma St.

 - Kalshi

Oklahoma St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oklahoma St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,323,777
N/A
N/A
$515,610
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. UCF Knights

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$155,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 168.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 169.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,251,116
N/A
N/A
$546,387
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,433
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Oklahoma State Cowboys and UCF Knights scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline winner, over/under totals at multiple thresholds, and point spread outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (UCF win or Oklahoma State win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary choice. Polymarket correctly resolves to the actual winner's name.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline—it is broken. For moneyline exposure, use Polymarket only. Spread and total markets are consistent and resolvable across both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves Yes for both UCF win and Oklahoma State win outcomes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two teams. Quote: 'If UCF wins the Oklahoma St. at UCF men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma St. wins the Oklahoma St. at UCF men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to the actual winner: Oklahoma State Cowboys if they win, UCF Knights if they win. This is standard binary resolution. Quote: 'If the Oklahoma State Cowboys win, the market will resolve to Oklahoma State Cowboys. If the UCF Knights win, the market will resolve to UCF Knights.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.